Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003260 0.003418 0.003581 0.003759 0.003949 0.004147 0.004369
2025-05-11 0.002965 0.003200 0.003450 0.003735 0.004054 0.004400 0.004806
2025-05-18 0.002773 0.003050 0.003352 0.003708 0.004117 0.004576 0.005132
2025-05-25 0.002679 0.002993 0.003344 0.003767 0.004265 0.004840 0.005558
2025-06-01 0.002563 0.002900 0.003284 0.003755 0.004323 0.004992 0.005852
2025-06-08 0.002453 0.002807 0.003215 0.003724 0.004351 0.005104 0.006094
2025-06-15 0.002341 0.002704 0.003128 0.003665 0.004336 0.005158 0.006261
2025-06-22 0.002246 0.002616 0.003054 0.003615 0.004328 0.005216 0.006431
2025-06-29 0.002186 0.002567 0.003024 0.003617 0.004382 0.005352 0.006706
2025-07-06 0.002078 0.002456 0.002912 0.003512 0.004293 0.005296 0.006719
2025-07-13 0.002030 0.002417 0.002888 0.003514 0.004342 0.005422 0.006982
2025-07-20 0.002006 0.002407 0.002900 0.003563 0.004453 0.005633 0.007370
2025-07-27 0.001945 0.002348 0.002848 0.003527 0.004449 0.005690 0.007547
2025-08-03 0.001894 0.002299 0.002807 0.003505 0.004463 0.005770 0.007761
2025-08-10 0.001844 0.002252 0.002767 0.003481 0.004472 0.005841 0.007963
2025-08-17 0.001829 0.002249 0.002784 0.003534 0.004590 0.006073 0.008415
2025-08-24 0.001790 0.002212 0.002755 0.003523 0.004616 0.006171 0.008668
2025-08-31 0.001747 0.002169 0.002716 0.003496 0.004616 0.006230 0.008861
2025-09-07 0.001695 0.002114 0.002658 0.003441 0.004575 0.006225 0.008951
2025-09-14 0.001649 0.002065 0.002609 0.003396 0.004545 0.006235 0.009064
2025-09-21 0.001623 0.002041 0.002593 0.003397 0.004585 0.006351 0.009356
2025-09-28 0.001563 0.001970 0.002510 0.003300 0.004473 0.006231 0.009246
2025-10-05 0.001540 0.001950 0.002496 0.003303 0.004511 0.006344 0.009535